← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Saint Mary's College-1.93+6.09vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota0.34+1.10vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin-1.45+3.28vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame0.69-1.59vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.49vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-0.71-1.25vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-1.28-1.05vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.30-2.08vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-1.32-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.09Saint Mary's College-1.930.0%1st Place
-
3.1University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
-
6.28University of Wisconsin-1.450.0%1st Place
-
2.41University of Notre Dame0.690.3%1st Place
-
3.51Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
-
4.75Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
5.95Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
-
5.92Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
-
5.99Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Moir | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 38.2% |
| Michael Stone | 19.1% | 22.2% | 22.7% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Steven Domiter | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 17.7% |
| John Di Lella | 33.8% | 27.4% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 17.7% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Higgins | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 12.6% |
| David Resnick | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 13.1% |
| Nina McAlvey | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.