← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota0.34+1.97vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University-1.28+4.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame0.69-0.51vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-1.30+2.06vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.37vs Predicted
-
6Saint Mary's College-1.93+1.22vs Predicted
-
7Grand Valley State University-0.71-2.08vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin-1.45-1.66vs Predicted
-
9Northern Michigan University-3.27+0.15vs Predicted
-
10Hope College-1.32-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97University of Minnesota0.340.3%1st Place
-
6.06Michigan Technological University-1.280.1%1st Place
-
2.49University of Notre Dame0.690.3%1st Place
-
6.06Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
-
3.63Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
-
7.22Saint Mary's College-1.930.0%1st Place
-
4.92Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
6.34University of Wisconsin-1.450.0%1st Place
-
9.15Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
-
6.17Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 26.1% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 3.6% |
| John Di Lella | 31.9% | 26.4% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Resnick | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 3.1% |
| Donny Marwin | 16.4% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mary Moir | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 26.6% | 12.9% |
| Ryan Higgins | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Steven Domiter | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 5.9% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 68.9% |
| Nina McAlvey | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.