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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.43+3.82vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.77+3.30vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.68-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.56-0.86vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.10-0.87vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.52-2.79vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.03-1.25vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.68-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82University of Michigan-0.437.8%1st Place
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5.3Hope College-0.776.2%1st Place
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2.95Northwestern University0.6826.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Wisconsin0.5622.1%1st Place
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4.13Purdue University-0.1011.1%1st Place
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3.21Clemson University0.5220.6%1st Place
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5.75Miami University-1.034.0%1st Place
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6.71Michigan State University-1.682.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Peloquin | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 7.6% |
| Ella Sligh | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 15.7% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 26.1% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Caden Harrison | 22.1% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Nathanael Green | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% |
| Luke Adams | 20.6% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 21.2% |
| George Prokop | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 18.6% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.