Race 9B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Hall 14.4% 13.0% 12.8% 11.5% 10.0% 9.5% 9.0% 7.0% 5.4% 4.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.0%
George Kutschenreuter 9.2% 10.8% 9.9% 9.1% 10.2% 10.5% 9.0% 8.2% 7.6% 7.7% 5.0% 2.4% 0.4%
William Heausler 10.3% 10.0% 11.3% 10.0% 9.6% 9.0% 9.6% 9.6% 8.1% 5.7% 4.2% 2.5% 0.1%
Hidde Van Der Molen 14.3% 12.4% 13.9% 11.6% 10.2% 10.3% 6.8% 7.0% 6.2% 3.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Karl Haelsig 8.7% 8.8% 7.6% 10.0% 7.9% 9.2% 9.6% 9.9% 8.6% 8.1% 6.4% 4.7% 0.5%
Samuel Bedinger 4.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.4% 6.1% 6.0% 6.4% 6.4% 10.3% 13.0% 15.5% 14.9% 2.5%
James Simmons 7.2% 7.8% 7.3% 7.2% 6.7% 7.7% 8.5% 10.9% 10.2% 8.5% 10.7% 6.1% 1.2%
James Allsopp 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 6.5% 5.8% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 10.1% 12.6% 12.8% 6.6% 1.4%
Daniel Eichler 9.1% 10.0% 9.3% 9.7% 10.8% 8.7% 9.5% 8.4% 8.6% 7.0% 6.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Miles Martschink 6.6% 5.6% 6.2% 7.8% 8.7% 6.3% 9.3% 9.1% 9.2% 10.5% 11.2% 7.9% 1.6%
Adam Matyi-Szabo 1.6% 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 3.7% 4.5% 5.5% 7.9% 13.6% 36.7% 15.9%
Shreyas Kousik 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 4.9% 11.4% 75.7%
Krysta Rohde 7.8% 10.3% 8.7% 8.4% 10.0% 11.6% 8.9% 8.6% 8.8% 9.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.