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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.69+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+0.99vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.30+3.26vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-1.93+3.56vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.28+1.08vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.35vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.71-2.26vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.32-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-1.45-2.49vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-3.27-0.60vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-3.97-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Notre Dame0.690.3%1st Place
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2.99University of Minnesota0.340.3%1st Place
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6.26Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
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7.56Saint Mary's College-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.08Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
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3.65Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
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4.74Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.09Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Wisconsin-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.4Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
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10.18Hillsdale College-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Di Lella | 30.0% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 25.2% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Resnick | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Mary Moir | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Donny Marwin | 16.5% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Steven Domiter | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 37.5% | 29.9% |
| Leahi Johsens | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 21.8% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.