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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.09vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.76+10.12vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.62vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+6.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+4.14vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-0.46vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+3.72vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.13+1.25vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24+0.15vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.14vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.64-2.04vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.36vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.02-9.26vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.01-2.41vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.69-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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5.62College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.3Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.72Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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14.59Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Julia Leighton | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Claire Havig | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 11.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 38.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.