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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.81vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+9.02vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+2.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.36vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.76+5.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.39vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.64+4.21vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24+0.84vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.53vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-2.37vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.01+1.29vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.12-4.68vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-5.56vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.20vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.69-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.52College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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12.21Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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14.29Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.32Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Claire Havig | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 34.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.