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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+7.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+2.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+2.95vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.04vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.13+3.24vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.58vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64+3.31vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.51vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.12-0.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.82vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.24-3.28vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-2.52vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-9.62vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-6.56vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-6.15vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.01-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.31Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.53Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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11.48Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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5.38College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.85Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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14.36Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Claire Havig | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Grace Howie | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.