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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.65vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.76+10.10vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+5.17vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.50vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.82vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.87vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.24vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-1.39vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.38vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.75vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-1.33vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.64-0.92vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.28vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-4.35vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-6.74vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.12-6.46vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.01-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.1Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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12.08Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.65Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.54Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.31Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Claire Havig | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.