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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.07vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.01+12.73vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+5.20vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+1.37vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.76+6.70vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.64+6.31vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.37vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.18vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24+0.83vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-3.05vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.12-0.48vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.06vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-2.47vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.27vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-5.83vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-5.63vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.33-11.32vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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14.73Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.37College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.7Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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12.31Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.83Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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6.95Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.52Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.53Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 36.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% |
| Grace Howie | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.