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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.60vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+5.72vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.13+4.35vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+2.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-0.76vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.77vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64+0.49vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.01+1.50vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.03vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-3.87vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-7.33vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.76-4.95vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.14-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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4.92College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.24Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.49Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.5Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.05Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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13.21Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 10.7% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 31.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% |
| Grace Howie | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.