Race 10B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Daniel Eichler 10.7% 8.3% 10.6% 9.4% 10.3% 9.3% 8.6% 8.7% 9.5% 6.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.3%
William Heausler 9.4% 10.9% 10.2% 10.0% 10.3% 10.9% 8.7% 8.9% 7.1% 7.0% 4.1% 2.2% 0.3%
Hidde Van Der Molen 13.3% 13.5% 13.2% 11.6% 9.3% 10.4% 9.4% 6.9% 5.1% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Miles Martschink 4.7% 6.3% 6.1% 8.4% 7.7% 7.0% 8.8% 9.8% 10.3% 10.3% 12.4% 7.2% 1.0%
Krysta Rohde 9.8% 10.7% 9.7% 9.5% 8.1% 8.4% 10.1% 10.1% 8.3% 7.2% 4.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Cameron Hall 14.5% 14.1% 13.2% 11.2% 10.5% 9.4% 8.1% 6.2% 6.0% 3.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 5.6% 3.6% 4.5% 6.1% 5.9% 4.7% 6.8% 7.7% 9.7% 11.6% 17.6% 13.9% 2.3%
Karl Haelsig 7.8% 10.3% 7.3% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 10.9% 9.8% 9.8% 8.3% 5.9% 3.8% 0.1%
George Kutschenreuter 9.9% 10.1% 9.8% 8.9% 10.3% 10.2% 9.9% 7.0% 7.6% 8.0% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4%
James Allsopp 6.1% 5.9% 6.6% 5.7% 7.7% 8.6% 7.3% 9.5% 8.5% 10.5% 13.2% 8.5% 1.9%
Adam Matyi-Szabo 1.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 4.8% 8.9% 13.0% 36.9% 15.5%
James Simmons 6.5% 5.0% 6.8% 8.0% 7.5% 8.5% 6.4% 9.8% 11.7% 11.8% 10.8% 6.1% 1.1%
Shreyas Kousik 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 3.1% 12.3% 76.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.