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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+4.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.27vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+3.53vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.13+4.40vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.01+7.66vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-1.97vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.42vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.77vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-5.60vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14+1.08vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-2.92vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-5.12vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.64-3.60vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-7.39vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.76-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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13.66Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.4Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.08Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.08Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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11.05Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 33.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 25.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.