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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.06vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+5.56vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+4.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.86vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.64+5.90vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24+2.43vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.26vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04+1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.52vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-2.17vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-1.57vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.33-8.55vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.01-1.29vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-7.20vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.44Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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5.45Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.71Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 15.6% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% |
| Claire Havig | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 37.5% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.