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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.04+8.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+2.47vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.63vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.63vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-2.80vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.13+1.05vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.20vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-5.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-0.33vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.02-6.51vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-2.54vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.01-1.35vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.83vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.40-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.2College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.47Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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13.65Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Howie | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Claire Havig | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 39.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.