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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+5.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.71vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+5.05vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-0.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.04vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.24+1.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-4.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-0.31vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.89vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-2.56vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.13-5.19vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-7.16vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.01-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.38College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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11.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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5.28Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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13.74Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Claire Havig | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Julia Leighton | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.