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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+4.81vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+6.61vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.86vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.16vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+4.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.44vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.64-0.55vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.34+3.40vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-0.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-0.88vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-1.10vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-1.75vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-0.28+2.90vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-2.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-8.61vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-7.02vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.59-6.31vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.27-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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7.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.93Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.4Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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15.91Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Ryan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 9.8% | 23.5% | 44.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Dana Haig | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Engeman | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 28.3% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.