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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+4.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.64vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.88vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+5.71vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15+2.39vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.59+2.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-0.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77+0.12vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.64-4.43vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-2.90vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-1.56vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.96vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.27+1.03vs Predicted
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16University of Illinois-0.28+0.04vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.73-6.78vs Predicted
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18Yale University1.34-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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16.03Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.04University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.22Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.35Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.8% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.6% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Engeman | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 28.5% | 42.8% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 26.4% | 44.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Meredith Ryan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.