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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+3.71vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.32+8.81vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+2.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+3.28vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.28+7.91vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+0.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-0.88vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.34+0.61vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-2.72vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.64-6.62vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.73-4.27vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-5.19vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-7.11vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.59-6.34vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.27-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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15.91University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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11.61Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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6.38College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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15.93Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 24.8% | 43.8% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Ryan | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Engeman | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 25.8% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.