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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.73+9.18vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+5.44vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.88vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+0.57vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.64-0.50vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+1.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.59+0.85vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32+0.65vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-0.28+2.92vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.15-5.87vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-6.17vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.34-4.41vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-7.08vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.27-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.18Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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15.92University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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11.59Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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15.89Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Engeman | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 24.9% | 44.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Ryan | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 28.1% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.