Race 11B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Heausler 11.1% 8.4% 11.1% 9.9% 10.7% 8.9% 10.4% 9.1% 7.6% 6.5% 4.6% 1.7%
Miles Martschink 5.2% 6.4% 7.1% 6.8% 7.5% 8.2% 8.0% 9.3% 11.3% 12.3% 10.7% 7.2%
James Simmons 7.7% 6.2% 5.9% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.3% 10.0% 10.6% 12.2% 12.0% 4.4%
James Allsopp 4.5% 5.3% 6.3% 7.6% 7.1% 8.2% 7.7% 10.0% 10.7% 11.6% 13.2% 7.8%
Samuel Bedinger 3.3% 4.6% 5.2% 4.9% 6.0% 7.0% 7.1% 8.0% 9.8% 11.5% 18.2% 14.4%
Hidde Van Der Molen 15.0% 12.3% 13.3% 11.9% 10.3% 10.5% 8.7% 6.8% 4.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.8%
Krysta Rohde 10.0% 10.5% 10.5% 8.7% 9.3% 8.5% 9.9% 8.6% 8.9% 6.8% 6.3% 2.0%
Cameron Hall 15.1% 15.0% 12.6% 9.6% 10.3% 10.0% 8.6% 7.4% 4.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.0%
Karl Haelsig 7.4% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4% 10.7% 9.4% 9.9% 9.1% 8.7% 9.0% 6.4% 1.7%
George Kutschenreuter 10.6% 9.2% 10.1% 11.0% 9.2% 9.5% 10.0% 8.4% 8.7% 6.3% 4.9% 2.1%
Daniel Eichler 8.6% 10.8% 7.2% 10.7% 9.0% 10.0% 9.3% 9.6% 8.5% 7.6% 6.3% 2.4%
Adam Matyi-Szabo 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 3.7% 6.7% 8.3% 13.0% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.