← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.77+8.53vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.31vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.75+6.78vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.63vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.82+4.37vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+2.95vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.15+1.25vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.89-2.49vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.59+1.61vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.67vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.63vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.65-5.62vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.32-1.45vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston2.64-7.46vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.73-5.14vs Predicted
-
16University of Illinois-0.28-0.40vs Predicted
-
17Yale University1.34-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.53Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.78Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.37Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
8.25University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
5.51Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
10.61University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.37University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.38Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.55Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
6.54College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.86Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
15.6University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.44Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Dana Haig | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Engeman | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 7.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 12.0% | 65.5% |
| Meredith Ryan | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.