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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+4.41vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+5.13vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.47vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+2.48vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64+1.27vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32+5.61vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+0.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82+0.73vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.73vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-1.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.25vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.34-1.56vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.59-3.43vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.75-5.18vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-8.42vs Predicted
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17University of Illinois-0.28-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.97Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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11.44Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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15.59University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 14.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 8.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Meredith Ryan | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 8.5% |
| Amanda Engeman | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 3.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.