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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+5.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+6.67vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.82+6.57vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.50vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+1.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89-0.30vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73+2.91vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.54vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32+2.62vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-1.82vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77-1.08vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.59-2.46vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.64-7.48vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.34-3.73vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.75-6.13vs Predicted
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17University of Illinois-0.28-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.7Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.91Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.27Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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15.6University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Dana Haig | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 7.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Engeman | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Ryan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 6.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 11.7% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.