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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+7.50vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+3.37vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.33vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.37vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75+4.63vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.59+4.50vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.08vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+1.28vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32+2.54vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-0.50vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.21-2.89vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-0.28+2.44vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.15-5.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-8.66vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.34-4.68vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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5.37Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.11College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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15.44University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.32Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Nothacker | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Engeman | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 7.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Liza Toppa | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 68.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Dana Haig | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Ryan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 6.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.