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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.17vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+3.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+1.20vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65-1.83vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.34+2.41vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.73-0.35vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32+0.44vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.71vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-3.11vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-4.42vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.21-7.07vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.59-5.62vs Predicted
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17University of Illinois-0.28-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.46Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.17Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.41Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.58Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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15.58University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Ryan | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 7.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Liza Toppa | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Engeman | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.