← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.36+1.86vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.20+1.19vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida3.29+0.05vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.42+1.97vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.90-1.37vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.90-0.76vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine2.22-2.21vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University0.29-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.86University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
-
3.19College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
-
3.05University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
-
5.97University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
-
3.63Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
-
5.24Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
-
4.79University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
-
7.25Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 26.5% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 19.9% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 22.5% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 31.2% | 19.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 14.6% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 23.6% | 8.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 17.2% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.