← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.68+1.79vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-0.10+1.87vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.52+0.04vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin0.56-1.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.17-0.85vs Predicted
-
6Miami University-1.03-0.81vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-1.68-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79Northwestern University0.6826.7%1st Place
-
3.87Purdue University-0.1011.9%1st Place
-
3.04Clemson University0.5222.6%1st Place
-
2.97University of Wisconsin0.5621.1%1st Place
-
4.15University of Michigan-0.1710.1%1st Place
-
5.19Miami University-1.035.3%1st Place
-
6.0Michigan State University-1.682.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Chesemore | 26.7% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Nathanael Green | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 5.8% |
| Luke Adams | 22.6% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Caden Harrison | 21.1% | 23.7% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| John McCalmont | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 8.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 30.0% | 25.7% |
| George Prokop | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 19.1% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.