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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.88vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+0.01vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90-0.35vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.90+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.42-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.22-2.19vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.29-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.18College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.01University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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3.65Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.25Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.95University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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7.25Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 25.6% | 22.5% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 19.5% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 23.6% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 14.8% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 23.3% | 23.6% | 7.2% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 31.5% | 18.6% |
| Ashley Hobson | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 15.7% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.