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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+0.23vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.19+1.05vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.61+0.54vs Predicted
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4American University-1.27+0.43vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.73-1.26vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-2.81+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.63-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23U. S. Naval Academy2.170.8%1st Place
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3.05University of Maryland-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.54Drexel University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.43American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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3.74William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.14Penn State Behrend-2.810.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Maryland-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 81.3% | 14.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Prucnal | 6.9% | 32.6% | 27.0% | 20.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Alison Reed | 5.5% | 19.7% | 24.7% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.1% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 28.8% | 18.5% | 5.8% |
| Parker Bunting | 4.4% | 16.9% | 23.7% | 23.4% | 21.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| andrew arndt | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 31.1% | 50.3% |
| Eliott Wallace | 0.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 33.3% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.