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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+0.22vs Predicted
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2American University-1.27+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.19+0.06vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.73-0.25vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.61-1.42vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-2.81+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.63-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.22U. S. Naval Academy2.170.8%1st Place
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4.4American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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3.06University of Maryland-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.75William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.58Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.13Penn State Behrend-2.810.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Maryland-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 82.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 2.3% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 29.5% | 17.3% | 5.5% |
| Rachel Prucnal | 7.3% | 31.7% | 26.5% | 19.7% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Parker Bunting | 2.8% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 23.9% | 20.5% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Alison Reed | 4.6% | 20.8% | 24.6% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| andrew arndt | 0.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 29.6% | 50.7% |
| Eliott Wallace | 0.5% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 34.5% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.