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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+0.23vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.61+1.54vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.73+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.63+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.19-1.90vs Predicted
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6American University-1.27-1.59vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-2.81-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23U. S. Naval Academy2.170.8%1st Place
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3.54Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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3.7William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Maryland-2.630.0%1st Place
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3.1University of Maryland-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.41American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.01Penn State Behrend-2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 81.3% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Reed | 4.4% | 20.3% | 26.0% | 24.1% | 17.8% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 4.6% | 18.3% | 22.3% | 24.3% | 19.8% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Eliott Wallace | 0.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 33.9% | 43.9% |
| Rachel Prucnal | 7.2% | 31.3% | 26.2% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Cala Coffman | 2.0% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 29.8% | 18.5% | 5.2% |
| andrew arndt | 0.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 28.3% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.