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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+0.23vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.19+1.06vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.61+0.57vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.73-0.28vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-2.81+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.63-0.04vs Predicted
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7American University-1.27-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23U. S. Naval Academy2.170.8%1st Place
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3.06University of Maryland-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.57Drexel University-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.72William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.16Penn State Behrend-2.810.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Maryland-2.630.0%1st Place
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4.3American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 81.1% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Prucnal | 6.6% | 31.4% | 29.1% | 18.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Alison Reed | 5.6% | 18.8% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 18.0% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Parker Bunting | 2.8% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 24.3% | 20.4% | 8.9% | 1.4% |
| andrew arndt | 0.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 28.8% | 52.2% |
| Eliott Wallace | 0.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 36.0% | 40.5% |
| Cala Coffman | 3.0% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 30.5% | 16.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.