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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+0.20vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.37+1.18vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.73+0.63vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.61-0.49vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-2.54+0.63vs Predicted
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6American University-1.27-1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-4.00-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.2U. S. Naval Academy2.170.8%1st Place
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3.18University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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3.63William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.51Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.63Penn State Behrend-2.540.0%1st Place
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4.23American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Maryland-4.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 83.5% | 13.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 5.8% | 29.4% | 27.0% | 21.0% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Parker Bunting | 4.9% | 18.3% | 23.8% | 24.9% | 19.7% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Alison Reed | 3.1% | 23.4% | 24.9% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 5.9% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Sander | 0.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 52.9% | 18.5% |
| Cala Coffman | 2.1% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 30.3% | 15.7% | 2.5% |
| UMD TEST | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 14.9% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.