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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.00-0.02vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.87+1.01vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.42+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.75-1.09vs Predicted
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6American University-2.14-0.45vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-2.77-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72U. S. Naval Academy1.290.5%1st Place
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1.98University of Maryland1.000.4%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary-0.870.1%1st Place
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4.74Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.91University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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5.55American University-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.11Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 49.0% | 35.3% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 36.1% | 40.0% | 16.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 5.9% | 6.9% | 22.6% | 27.9% | 22.4% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Tobias Green | 1.5% | 5.6% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 26.0% | 24.5% | 9.2% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 5.2% | 8.5% | 27.5% | 25.3% | 19.7% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Marty Isaacson | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 32.3% | 28.6% |
| Petar Dotchev | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.