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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.00-0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.75+0.85vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.42+0.74vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.87-0.96vs Predicted
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6American University-2.14-0.45vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-2.77-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72U. S. Naval Academy1.290.5%1st Place
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1.98University of Maryland1.000.4%1st Place
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3.85University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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4.74Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.04William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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5.55American University-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.12Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 49.0% | 35.2% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 36.0% | 39.5% | 17.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 6.4% | 7.9% | 26.5% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Tobias Green | 1.5% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 25.9% | 24.6% | 9.3% |
| Audrey Fulk | 4.8% | 8.1% | 23.3% | 26.0% | 21.7% | 12.2% | 3.9% |
| Marty Isaacson | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 32.3% | 28.5% |
| Petar Dotchev | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 21.3% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.