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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.81vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.42+2.96vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland1.00-0.92vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.87+0.30vs Predicted
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5American University-0.92-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.75-1.86vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-2.77-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81U. S. Naval Academy1.290.5%1st Place
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4.96Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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2.08University of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
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4.3William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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4.39American University-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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6.33Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 48.5% | 30.7% | 14.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tobias Green | 2.5% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 31.1% | 13.5% |
| Michael Bisson | 33.0% | 38.9% | 19.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 4.2% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 23.5% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 6.0% |
| Duncan Feighan | 5.0% | 7.1% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 24.0% | 18.9% | 7.6% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 5.7% | 8.3% | 19.7% | 23.7% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 4.0% |
| Petar Dotchev | 1.1% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.