← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Maryland1.00+0.05vs Predicted
-
3American University-0.92+1.36vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary-0.87+0.32vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-0.75-0.83vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-1.42-1.01vs Predicted
-
7Penn State Behrend-2.77-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.8U. S. Naval Academy1.290.5%1st Place
-
2.05University of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
-
4.36American University-0.920.1%1st Place
-
4.32William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
-
4.17University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
-
4.99Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.31Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 46.7% | 33.4% | 14.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Bisson | 34.8% | 38.1% | 18.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Feighan | 5.5% | 5.8% | 16.7% | 23.3% | 22.8% | 19.4% | 6.5% |
| Audrey Fulk | 4.1% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 5.2% | 8.2% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 5.6% |
| Tobias Green | 2.7% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 31.0% | 14.1% |
| Petar Dotchev | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.