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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.90+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29-0.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20-0.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.87+0.52vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.90-1.81vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.29-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Eckerd College2.900.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Hawaii3.360.2%1st Place
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2.96University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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3.15College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
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5.19Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.14Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilie Mademann | 16.0% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 24.5% | 22.6% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 24.0% | 20.4% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 20.0% | 20.9% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Hobson | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 23.7% | 11.9% | 3.3% |
| Kirsten Hunt | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 32.1% | 31.9% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 19.8% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 26.5% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.