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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.00-0.04vs Predicted
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3American University-0.92+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.18+1.64vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.87-1.04vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-2.77+0.16vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.42-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73U. S. Naval Academy1.290.5%1st Place
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1.96University of Maryland1.000.4%1st Place
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4.0American University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Maryland-2.180.0%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.16Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
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4.54Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 48.4% | 36.2% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 36.3% | 40.3% | 16.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Feighan | 5.8% | 6.8% | 22.3% | 28.9% | 21.1% | 12.6% | 2.5% |
| Anna O'Connell | 0.7% | 1.5% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 33.6% | 30.3% |
| Audrey Fulk | 4.8% | 8.2% | 25.8% | 25.5% | 21.5% | 11.1% | 3.1% |
| Petar Dotchev | 0.8% | 0.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 22.3% | 56.4% |
| Tobias Green | 3.2% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 28.0% | 20.1% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.