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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.73vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.26+0.62vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.27vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.37+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.53+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.53vs Predicted
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9Williams College-2.24-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.5%1st Place
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2.62Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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3.27Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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4.78Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Connecticut-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.65University of New Hampshire-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.09Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 52.8% | 28.7% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 20.6% | 30.1% | 27.1% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 12.9% | 19.1% | 26.0% | 21.2% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 3.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 19.3% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 3.9% |
| Heather Lewis | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 32.7% | 26.3% |
| Lauren Miller | 5.1% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 24.4% | 22.1% | 9.5% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 20.8% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.