← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.81vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College1.26+0.77vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.45vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-0.32+0.93vs Predicted
-
5Olin College of Engineering0.46-1.19vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-0.41vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-1.53-1.51vs Predicted
-
9Williams College-2.24-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.5%1st Place
-
2.77Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
-
3.45Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
-
4.93University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
-
3.81Olin College of Engineering0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
-
6.49University of Connecticut-1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.15Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 51.7% | 25.9% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 19.2% | 28.8% | 23.9% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 11.7% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 23.7% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Miller | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 26.1% | 23.0% | 14.1% | 3.3% |
| Colin Snow | 8.4% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 24.0% | 18.8% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 26.4% | 22.3% | 10.5% |
| Heather Lewis | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 19.3% | 31.9% | 29.5% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 9.3% | 25.3% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.