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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.73vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.28vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.26-0.42vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.37+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.32-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.53-1.60vs Predicted
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9Williams College-2.24-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.5%1st Place
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3.28Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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2.58Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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4.79Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.7University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Connecticut-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.09Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 53.3% | 28.0% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 12.2% | 19.3% | 27.0% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 21.8% | 30.3% | 25.8% | 14.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 19.6% | 13.8% | 3.1% |
| Lauren Miller | 4.2% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 11.3% | 2.6% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 22.7% | 20.2% | 10.1% |
| Heather Lewis | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 30.0% | 29.1% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 10.7% | 23.4% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.