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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.72vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.26+0.62vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.23vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.37+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.53+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.32-2.25vs Predicted
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9Williams College-2.24-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.5%1st Place
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2.62Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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3.23Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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4.78Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Connecticut-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.75University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.1Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 53.9% | 27.9% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 20.8% | 30.1% | 25.7% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 13.1% | 19.1% | 27.0% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 4.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 4.4% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 19.3% | 24.7% | 22.3% | 8.5% |
| Heather Lewis | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 30.0% | 26.5% |
| Lauren Miller | 4.0% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 21.8% | 12.7% | 2.8% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 21.3% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.