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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.73vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.37+2.81vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.26-0.42vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.26vs Predicted
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7Williams College-2.24+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.53-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.5%1st Place
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4.81Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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2.58Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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3.25Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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4.74University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.12Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Connecticut-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 53.4% | 27.3% | 14.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 18.5% | 23.3% | 20.6% | 13.0% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Baskin | 21.8% | 30.2% | 26.0% | 14.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mott Blair | 12.2% | 20.1% | 26.5% | 21.5% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Miller | 4.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 22.6% | 21.6% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 19.3% | 59.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 24.2% | 21.8% | 10.4% |
| Heather Lewis | 0.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 34.0% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.