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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.26+1.56vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.24vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.37+1.77vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.72-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.30vs Predicted
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7Williams College-2.24+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.53-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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1.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.5%1st Place
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4.77Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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3.27Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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4.7University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.11Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Connecticut-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Baskin | 23.4% | 30.5% | 24.2% | 13.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 51.0% | 29.3% | 13.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 4.1% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 3.3% |
| Mott Blair | 12.1% | 19.1% | 26.3% | 23.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Miller | 4.6% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 20.1% | 23.2% | 19.2% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 19.6% | 58.2% |
| Isabel Rombult | 3.0% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 23.5% | 21.5% | 11.2% |
| Heather Lewis | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 33.9% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.