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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.96vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.93vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.14+0.17vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.01-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.93-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-1.63vs Predicted
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9Williams College-4.19-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.5%1st Place
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3.93Olin College of Engineering-0.650.1%1st Place
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3.17Middlebury College-0.140.2%1st Place
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2.92Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Connecticut-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.63Williams College-4.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Poirier | 45.8% | 27.6% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 9.2% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 22.3% | 13.7% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 16.1% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 19.0% | 23.2% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 5.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 24.7% | 21.7% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Dube | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 30.9% | 27.2% | 4.7% |
| Abbey Rogers | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 19.6% | 47.4% | 14.8% |
| Jesse Cohen | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 4.3% | 12.4% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.