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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+0.94vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.15vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90-0.35vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.90+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.42-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.22-2.19vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.29-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Hawaii3.360.2%1st Place
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3.15College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.65Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.26Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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7.25Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 23.2% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 23.5% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 21.7% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 14.7% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 7.1% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 31.7% | 18.7% |
| Ashley Hobson | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 15.7% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.