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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.96vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.91vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.65+0.88vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.14-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.93+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.01-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-1.62vs Predicted
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9Williams College-4.19-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.5%1st Place
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2.91Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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3.88Olin College of Engineering-0.650.1%1st Place
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3.22Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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5.64University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.36University of Connecticut-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.64Williams College-4.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Poirier | 45.7% | 27.2% | 16.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 18.8% | 25.1% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 22.7% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 14.8% | 20.1% | 22.3% | 21.9% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Dube | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 35.1% | 28.1% | 3.7% |
| Colby Brennan | 6.5% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Abbey Rogers | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 17.9% | 48.0% | 14.9% |
| Jesse Cohen | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 4.2% | 11.5% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.