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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.06+1.89vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.93vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.03vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.14-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.01-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.93-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-1.65vs Predicted
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9Williams College-4.19-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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3.93Olin College of Engineering-0.650.1%1st Place
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1.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.4%1st Place
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3.18Middlebury College-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Connecticut-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.63Williams College-4.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dugan | 20.2% | 24.2% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 9.1% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 44.7% | 28.8% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 15.6% | 21.5% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 22.7% | 22.8% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Dube | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 18.3% | 31.0% | 26.9% | 4.7% |
| Abbey Rogers | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 19.5% | 47.6% | 14.8% |
| Jesse Cohen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 12.5% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.