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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.98vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.93vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.14+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.93+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.01-0.59vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.65-3.13vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-1.63vs Predicted
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9Williams College-4.19-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.5%1st Place
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2.93Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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3.2Middlebury College-0.140.2%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Connecticut-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.87Olin College of Engineering-0.650.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.64Williams College-4.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Poirier | 45.7% | 26.3% | 17.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 19.2% | 23.5% | 23.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 15.9% | 20.0% | 21.7% | 22.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Dube | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 32.6% | 26.8% | 4.9% |
| Colby Brennan | 5.7% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 24.5% | 20.8% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Miller | 9.9% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Abbey Rogers | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 18.4% | 48.6% | 14.4% |
| Jesse Cohen | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 4.6% | 11.9% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.