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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering-0.65+2.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.00vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.09vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.14-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.01-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.93-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-0.62vs Predicted
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9Williams College-4.19-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Olin College of Engineering-0.650.1%1st Place
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2.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.4%1st Place
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2.91Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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3.21Middlebury College-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Connecticut-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.65Williams College-4.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Miller | 10.0% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 43.6% | 27.4% | 17.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 20.4% | 23.0% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 15.4% | 20.9% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 6.1% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 23.4% | 22.1% | 6.8% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Dube | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 32.1% | 27.0% | 4.7% |
| Abbey Rogers | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 19.8% | 48.1% | 14.8% |
| Jesse Cohen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 12.9% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.